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Thursday,Oct 22 2009, 01:36:00 PMThe shift in international system to a new order..

 

Cyrus's Journals

The shift in international system to a new order, does "capitalism" allow it!?

 

The shift in international system from a Cold war basis to plenty centered based global system , has created a controversy which is deeply in contrast with its practical values.

Before the collapse of Soviet Empire, the world was unfairly divided into two blocks with all its irrational divisions and boundaries. The artificial blockades of commerce and international diplomacy were justified often by the cohesive impacts of the two world , two systems.    

Yet the boundaries were not only put on human inter-relationships depending on which side of the line one lived, but it created human disasters beyond any explanation at all. 

However one major attribute of that devil international system was , simplifying the definition of illegal and legal, illegitimate and legitimate depending again on which side of the line one lived. The system's collapse made every invaluable , valuables , every white to  black and every single black turned to be white in just one single moment of the collapse of the Berlin Wall in 1989 (1).    

 Life was supposed to be much easier since then,, but what really happened was the drastically increasing of the subsystems in the international affairs. Diplomacy was taken as hostage by the so called " Pirate States"(2) that still had problem to be recognized as the parts of the new international system , or better to say the new international Anarchism.    

The first attribute of this new system as mentioned before was pluralism in " power centers " round the world. The satellites of the former super powers became the new players as well ,, many states released by the dissolution of the Soviet Union became "military pirates" trying to enter the international underworld of military and weaponry black market to compensate the lost of their mandates and strengths. Many of them turned to be the new enterprising bodies for the New Ruling Class , reining over the new Russia even today. They appear even to have gained international legitimacy , mostly by their counterparts in the West, namely the Western Capitalism.

 On the other hand the new " Pirate States" that proved to be much less concerned about international system's prerequisites , took the piracy of foreign commerce in their own hands together with any possible international piracy , enabling them questing and later acquiring atomic weapons ( 3) to be able to continue with their subsystem piracy. Many of them still hide this self-satisfied indulging ideological mambo-jambo as their religious heritage, commanding them to act like pirates.  

The consequences for the heir of the old system? 

In this dramatic, anarchical break down of systems together with starting of the new semi systems of the world order , the role of the one and only super power remaining of the old system is not enviable at all. United States as the only power coming through the changes almost(4) without losing its attributions as a super power has challenges that must be dealt with , otherwise our world will demised in one or another irresponsible act of terror, ignited by this and that brain washed foot militia of wealthy oil income based piracy subsystem and blow off what ever in paradox with its approach of its whatever religion.                        

 But the dangers in front of our somewhat crippled " super power" is not only those in enmity with its systemic values , but even more dangerously those sharing its own values , the so called values of western capitalism. Since 1980s, international commerce was the only possible pathway between the still " civilized system world of international relations: and those under the steps of piracy. Many were killed after revolutions in the Third World ,, many were taken hostages ,, thousands of people were forced into refuge ,, without any chance to ever visit or inhabit on their old birthplaces,, hundreds of small and inconsiderable blasts killed people in the Commercial centers,, in the hearts of International Capitalism and elsewhere, however , still the ticker of the Capitalism and trade pulses. 

The new Financial Crisis however was a "gift of god" to review the corrupted rules of Capitalism which was eating the Western System Values from inside up,, and paving the way for the further international anarchism. Joining of China , India , Brazil , Russia to the whiter international commerce rules , was in fact a blessing for the new system to blossom in the "not haves" world in controversy to the Cold War , which monopolized and took the international commerce as a hostage into the hands of two super powers owning the most powerful atomic arsenals. 

Nevertheless the real challenge is still far from being solved. On the contrary , our world has just recently started to see the values of " restrictions" and "regulations" of the international commerce. The aim of this bold action will not only deprive the Capitalism's domestic enemies ,, disguised in descent international corporations , such as banks and financial institutions , but they will aim the pirate states as well, as its long term goal. 

The task however is not that easy, United States as President Obama well put it in its declaration of foreign policy speeches, it need every member of the Industrial and emerging economic powers active participation.         

  The crucial role of sanctions     

   A vital role which is played in this connection is accomplished by the "sanctions" either put by the international organizations charters ( like seventh chapter of the UN chapter) or individually forced by the Industrial World to make pirate sates obey the rules of the game. This also despite the fact that International Capitalism drives its own rules even against its own long term benefits , for its short term, short sited wealth maximizing and vertical integration rules of commerce. Sanctions will not be effective if the new rules to stop wealth maximizing based on the vertical integration and insider information games would be stopped or severely restricted. One of these magical cures for diminishing the pirate behavior is see and guarantee that international sanctions work.

 The next step is to demilitarize the newly gained atomic weapon centers that severely threatening the international peace and security. As the generator of all these illegal activities instigated by the motivations of gaining power and wealth, United States has to challenge the Inner corrupted commercial entities as much as the international bandits that has never shown any regret in destabilizing the world. If all these two elementary steps of regaining its systemic superiority being taken, then our world would move towards cooperation and coexistence in harmony. But the task is far from being done or even started.            

 cyrusvadani@msn.com

(1): In order to observe a chronological study of this event , browse the following link please   

http://andreas.com/berlin.html     

( 2) Islamic Republic of Iran , Pakistan and other Islamic states allegedly gained atomic powers to destabilize the world order. Persuaded by these so called "revolutionary" but riot nations as such the world order is deeply endangered through terrorist actions and so on.  

(3) Abdolghadir Khan the so called the "father of Islamic World's atomic bomb" has improved his personal role as acquiring source of the mass destruction weapons , but even Israel as the largest , most dangerously equipped source of unease in international relations could only be a few to name. the danger is the inspiration these states wake with the other pirate states to create and own mass destructive weapons. 

 (4) United States is the only survivor of the old system that is practically owning upper-hand in both systems, although its challenges in front of it undermines the privileges it had during the cold war , as well as those it might gain after the collapse of the Soviet Union. 

  Every right of this article belongs to the  writer : Cyrus Vahdany 

Demo|Live|Free Practice 
Daily Newsletter: 12/11/2009 
By Elizabeth Gregory - ACM Advanced Currency Markets, Geneva, Switzerland
Today's Economic Calendar:
 TIME (GMT)    EVENT  VALUE NAME   CONS.  
00:30    AU:Employment Level change -10000  
00:30    AU:Unemployment Rate Level 5.7%  
10:00    EMU:Industrial Production Month over Month 0.5%  
    Year over Year -14.1%  
12:00    US:MBA Purchase Applications Purchase Index - W/W Change 0%  
13:30    US:Jobless Claims New Claims - Level 512K  
    4-week Moving Average - Level 0K  
16:00    US:EIA Petroleum Status Report Crude oil inventories (weekly change) 0M barrels  
19:00    US:Treasury Budget Treasury Budget - Level $-150B  
21:30    US:Money Supply M2 Weekly Change $0B  

Full week Economic Calendar        

Gold Outperforms To Touch New Highs Above $1123
News and Events:
The flurry of rhetoric from policymakers in the past day seems to affirm that conditions conducive to continued USD-selling are likely to persist...All have echoed the same message that an early exit from stimulus could be severely disadvantageous, and that economies are still at a point where accommodative policies are required to support the early stages of recovery.

The BoE’s Inflation report seemed to present a more balanced review of the economy and left the door open to flexibility on further stimulus.

Gold has powered to new highs above $1123 and is by far outstripping all other asset classes in benefitting from USD-weakness. We should be wary however that this latest surge means prices have gained over 12% in the last month alone, and commodity markets are notoriously susceptible to so-called blow-out reversals when prices form an exaggerated spike before a crash.

Read Today's Key Issues and The Risk Today        



Resistance and Support:
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
1.5100 1.7400 93.50 1.0290
1.5063 1.7041 92.50 1.0200
1.5046 1.6900 90.75 1.0132
1.4955 1.6575 89.80 1.0105
1.4910 1.6400 89.20 1.0037
1.4810 1.6260 88.85 1.0000
1.4626 1.6200 88.00 0.9890
S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot

 






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